Yuki Eliot

Market Update

• BTC/USD declined to $81,618.77, down $123.72 (−0.15%) from the previous session's $81,742.50.
• Price broke below the $81,692.79 lower boundary of the 10-day horizontal consolidation range, entering a new sub-range.
• The last 10 closes show a step-down sequence from $85,748.96 to the current level, confirming a gradual drift lower.

Trend & Momentum

• Daily RSI at 43.6 remains in neutral-to-weak territory, easing from 44.2 in the prior session.
• Price sits $2,185.22 below the 20-day Bollinger basis of $83,803.99, a 2.61% deviation.
• The $5,239.94 Bollinger band span reflects contained volatility; price is near the lower band at $81,184.02.

Key Levels

• Immediate support: $81,184.02 (lower Bollinger Band); breach would expose the $81,692.79 10-day floor.
• Immediate resistance: $83,275.06 (previous close); further upside targets the $85,748.96 10-day ceiling.
• 20-day mean resistance: $83,803.99; recovery above this level would signal a shift in trend structure.

Risk & Volatility Outlook

• Volatility is contracting within the $5,239.94 Bollinger band span; a break below $81,184.02 would signal expansion.
• A sustained close above $83,803.99 would weaken the current downtrend view and suggest early bullish development.
• Failure to hold above $81,692.79 would target the $61,453.09 100-day low as a longer-term risk.