Yuki Eliot

1. Market Update

• BTC/USD slipped to $77,523.81, extending the pullback from the previous $77,808.08 level and deepening the descent from the $84,024.67 local peak.
• The last 10-day close sequence shows persistent downward pressure, with the most recent two closes marking the lowest levels in this sequence.
• Price currently sits 19.17% above the 100-day low of $62,209.81, within a 100-day range capped at $87,397.00.

2. Trend & Momentum

• Daily RSI has ticked down to 33.6, drifting back toward the oversold zone after briefly stabilizing near 37.5 in the prior session.
• The current price is trading 4.67% below the 20-day Bollinger basis of $81,323.80, reflecting sustained bearish momentum.
• Price has also broken below the lower Bollinger band at $78,122.37, indicating strong downward momentum over the near term.

3. Key Levels

• Immediate support is defined by the recent local low near $76,746.38, which is the last stabilization point before the current slide.
• Resistance is established by the lower Bollinger band at $78,122.37, followed by the 20-day mean at $81,323.80.
• The 10-day close sequence highlights overhead supply beginning at $80,008.79, extending up to the $84,024.67 peak.

4. Risk & Volatility Outlook

• The Bollinger band span is $6,402.87, showing a moderate volatility environment as price stretches outside the lower band.
• A reclaim and hold above $78,122.37 would signal early bullish trend development, potentially weakening the current bearish structure.
• Conversely, a loss of the $76,746.38 support would confirm continued downward momentum and likely trigger volatility expansion to the downside.